The humanoid robot plate is "out of the fire"? Don't worry, analyze calmly!
DATE:  Mar 01 2025

Text/Xiaoyu

Treasures, on February 28, the humanoid robot sector suddenly "turned off", the index plummeted, individual stocks were miserable green, and Hanwei Technology and Green Harmonic fell one after another. What the hell is going on here? Is the technology not working, or is the market not optimistic? Don't worry, let's take a look at it today, what happened and what to do next.

Why did the humanoid robot sector suddenly plummet?

1. Goldman Sachs "poured cold water".

Goldman Sachs released a research report on February 27, which directly poured cold water on humanoid robots. After investigating Unitree Technology, they found that the inflection point of humanoid robot technology is still unclear, and the current hardware level is not yet able to handle complex tasks. Goldman Sachs predicts that by 2027 and 2032, global humanoid robot shipments will be only 76,000 and 502,000 units, respectively, far below market expectations. This suggests that the commercialization of humanoid robots may be much slower than everyone thinks.

2. The performance of individual stocks is "lagging behind".

Green Harmonic released a performance report on the evening of February 27, with a net profit loss in the fourth quarter of last year, which was the company's first loss after listing in 2020. As the "leader" of the sector, the decline in the performance of Green Harmonic has frustrated market confidence and accelerated the departure of funds.

3. The previous increase is too high, and a pullback is inevitable

The

humanoid robot sector rose too much in the early stage, and some stocks even doubled. The market needs a correction to digest valuations and adjust overly high expectations. This kind of pullback is actually quite normal, like running too fast to rest.

4. Global technology stocks resonated and fell

On February 28, global technology stocks were "cool", with U.S. technology stocks leading the decline, and A-shares also "lying down". This global resonance decline has made the adjustment of the humanoid robot sector more drastic.

Follow-up: Retreat or buy the bottom?

1. Short-term: Don't rush to buy the bottom

In the short term, the adjustment of the humanoid robot sector may not be over yet. The Goldman Sachs report has cast doubt on the maturity of the technology and the prospect of commercialization, and there may be an outflow of funds in the short term. Therefore, don't rush to buy the bottom in the short term, and wait for the market sentiment to stabilize.

2. Medium-term: focus on parts and components companies

Goldman Sachs believes that although the overall commercialization of humanoid robots is slow, there are greater opportunities for component suppliers. For example, the harmonic reducer of green harmonic and the sensor of Hanwei Technology are indispensable parts of humanoid robots. These companies have high technical barriers, and the probability of their products being adopted is greater.

3. Long-term: optimistic about technological breakthroughs and application scenarios

Humanoid robots are an important direction of future science and technology, although the technology is not yet mature, but the future will definitely break through. For example, EFORT (688165) is a leading enterprise in the manufacture of robot ontology, and in the long run, with the advancement of technology and the implementation of application scenarios, these companies are expected to usher in new growth.

4. Fund Focus: Diversify risk

If you don't want to directly "stud" individual stocks, you can pay attention to related funds. For example, ChinaAMC CSI Robot ETF (562500), which covers a number of high-quality enterprises in the robot industry chain. By diversifying your investment through funds, you can reduce your risk and wait for the industry to pick up.

Write at the end

Treasures, the humanoid robot plate is indeed a bit sudden, but don't panic. Short-term adjustments are normal, and it is only a matter of time before technological breakthroughs and commercialization are implemented. In the short term, you can wait and see, pay attention to parts companies in the medium term, and be optimistic about technological breakthroughs in the long term. Funds can also be a good tool for diversifying risk. In short, investment is like a roller coaster, don't be scared by temporary fluctuations, take a long-term view, opportunities will always come!

Financial Fishery Statement: This article is based on public information, and the information or opinions expressed do not constitute investment advice to anyone and are for reference only. The picture material comes from the Internet invasion and deletion.

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